Executive Summary

The third quarter of 2025 saw notable volatility in Triethylene Glycol (TEG) prices across major regions including North America, APAC, and Europe. Price movements were largely influenced by inventory fluctuations, production cost dynamics, and varied demand patterns across end-use industries such as automotive, construction, and gas dehydration.

In the USA, the Triethylene Glycol Price Index recorded a decline of 3.69% quarter-over-quarter due to inventory accumulation, with the average price standing at approximately USD 1,565/MT. China experienced a 2.09% decrease, while Germany saw the steepest decline of 11.46%, reflecting persistent oversupply.

Despite these near-term pressures, forecasts suggest mild recovery potential driven by seasonal antifreeze demand, normalized exports, and potential restocking in downstream industries. This report provides a detailed regional analysis, historical review, cost trend insights, and a forward-looking outlook for Triethylene Glycol Prices.

Introduction to Triethylene Glycol Market Dynamics

Triethylene Glycol (TEG) is a key industrial chemical widely used in gas dehydration, dehumidification, antifreeze formulations, and as a solvent in coatings and polymers. Price movements in the TEG market are highly sensitive to:

• Feedstock costs, particularly ethylene oxide and crude oil derivatives
• Inventory levels at producer and port storage
• Downstream demand, especially in automotive and construction sectors
• Global trade flows, including import/export competition

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Q3 2025 was marked by softening prices across North America, APAC, and Europe due to elevated inventories, subdued export inquiries, and a slight easing of feedstock costs.

Global Triethylene Glycol Price Overview

Across the board, spot prices mirrored these trends with downward pressure, reflecting soft demand and rising inventories. International arbitrage opportunities remained limited, as regional oversupply conditions prevented aggressive pricing.

North America: Q3 2025 Triethylene Glycol Price Analysis

Price Movements and Index Trends

In the USA, the Triethylene Glycol Price Index fell by 3.69% quarter-over-quarter. Trade data indicated an average price of USD 1,565/MT. Spot prices also eased due to elevated inventories and subdued export inquiries, signaling a short-term buyer’s market.

Supply and Inventory Dynamics

Inventory accumulation was a key driver of price softness. Producers were reluctant to defend higher price levels amid ample stock, while international demand remained subdued. Logistic flows from domestic producers to regional distributors remained steady, with no major disruptions reported.

Demand Outlook

Demand in Q3 2025 showed a mixed pattern:

• Automotive and construction sectors provided moderate support
• Gas dehydration volumes remained weak, contributing to lower spot prices

Seasonal factors, including the onset of colder months, are expected to bolster demand for antifreeze applications, potentially supporting price recovery in Q4 2025.

Production Cost Trends

Crude oil easing exerted downward pressure on ethylene oxide feedstock costs, marginally improving margins for TEG producers. Lower feedstock costs, coupled with high inventory levels, limited the upward potential of the Triethylene Glycol Price Index.

Price Forecast

Mild recovery is anticipated in the near term, driven by:

• Seasonal antifreeze demand
• Potential restocking by downstream industries
• Stabilized exports as global demand recovers

APAC Market Analysis: China Q3 2025

Price Movements

China’s Triethylene Glycol Price Index fell by 2.09% quarter-over-quarter, with the average CFR Qingdao price at USD 1,059.33/MT. Spot prices were under pressure due to persistent oversupply and competitive offers from Middle Eastern imports.

Supply and Inventory Considerations

Operational restarts after maintenance at Chinese producers influenced supply levels. Despite this, elevated inventories across ports and warehouses maintained downward pressure on spot prices. Export arbitrage opportunities were limited due to competitive global offers.

Demand Outlook

Downstream demand remained muted:

• Automotive sector showed incremental improvement
• Weak procurement in coatings and solvents offset gains
• Seasonal port disruptions affected shipment schedules

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Production Cost Dynamics

Ethylene oxide feedstock prices softened during the quarter, easing production costs slightly and supporting margins. However, the benefit was insufficient to counteract the effect of oversupply and subdued buying.

Price Forecast

Modest recovery in October is projected if downstream buying strengthens, especially in antifreeze and industrial solvent applications. Seasonal demand fluctuations and resumption of export flows could provide additional support.

European Market Analysis: Germany Q3 2025

Price Trends and Index Movements

Germany experienced a significant decline in the Triethylene Glycol Price Index, falling 11.46% quarter-over-quarter. The average CFR Hamburg price was USD 1,383.33/MT. Spot prices eased amid abundant inventories and steady imports from overseas.

Supply and Inventory Dynamics

Persistently high stock levels, combined with ongoing import flows, constrained price recovery. Year-end liquidation strategies by some distributors exerted additional pressure on spot markets.

Demand Outlook

Procurement activity was weak across major end-use sectors:

• Automotive demand was constrained
• Construction activity contributed minimally to consumption
• Gas dehydration sector remained slow

Production and Cost Considerations

Despite occasional logistical bottlenecks, production costs were moderate, with feedstock prices stabilizing. However, abundant supply continued to cap the upside for the Triethylene Glycol Price Index.

Price Forecast

Near-term downside remains modest due to excess stock and weak procurement interest. Recovery is expected only when inventories normalize and export demand strengthens, possibly in Q4 2025.

Historical Quarterly Review

Looking back, the Triethylene Glycol market has shown cyclical trends driven by:

• Feedstock volatility impacting production costs
• Seasonal demand fluctuations for antifreeze and gas dehydration
• Geopolitical factors influencing export flows

Q3 2025 reflected a combination of soft demand and inventory build-ups, resulting in quarter-over-quarter declines across all major markets.

Global Production and Cost Structure Insights

Triethylene Glycol production primarily relies on ethylene oxide, with costs influenced by crude oil prices. The Q3 2025 period saw:

• Feedstock price easing, improving margins slightly
• Downward pressure on spot markets, limiting price growth
• Inventory-driven market behavior, especially in Europe and North America

Producers focused on balancing supply with muted demand to avoid excessive stock accumulation, which could further depress the Price Index.

Procurement Outlook

Buyers in Q4 2025 are likely to adopt a cautious procurement approach:

• North America: Opportunistic buying at lower spot prices; seasonal antifreeze demand may support restocking
• APAC: Downstream demand likely to pick up post-Q3 maintenance shutdowns
• Europe: Procurement to remain conservative until inventories normalize

Overall, the market appears poised for a mild recovery, contingent on seasonal buying and export stabilization.

FAQs on Triethylene Glycol Prices

Q1: What caused the Triethylene Glycol Price Index to decline in Q3 2025?
A1: Declines were primarily driven by inventory accumulation, subdued export demand, and slightly easing feedstock costs across major regions.

Q2: Which regions experienced the steepest price decline?
A2: Germany experienced the most significant drop at 11.46% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting persistently high supply and weak procurement.

Q3: How are seasonal trends expected to affect Q4 2025 prices?
A3: Seasonal demand for antifreeze applications in North America and APAC is expected to support mild price recovery.

Q4: What role did production costs play in Q3 2025 pricing?
A4: Production costs eased slightly due to lower ethylene oxide and crude oil prices, but inventory and demand dynamics were the dominant pricing drivers.

Q5: How does Triethylene Glycol demand vary across industries?
A5: Automotive, construction, and gas dehydration sectors are key consumers. In Q3 2025, automotive and construction offered moderate support, while gas dehydration volumes remained weak.

Conclusion

Q3 2025 has been characterized by softening Triethylene Glycol prices across North America, APAC, and Europe, reflecting inventory pressures, subdued downstream demand, and feedstock cost dynamics. While the market remains cautious, mild recovery is anticipated in Q4 2025, driven by seasonal antifreeze demand, normalized exports, and potential restocking by downstream industries.

For buyers, understanding regional price trends, inventory dynamics, and cost structures is critical for strategic procurement and risk mitigation. As the Triethylene Glycol market navigates oversupply and demand fluctuations, timely data and market intelligence remain key to optimizing purchasing decisions.

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