The global automotive crankshaft market is navigating a period of profound regional realignment, shaped by divergent regulatory environments, evolving manufacturing ecosystems, and shifting vehicle production footprints. Valued at USD 5.09 billion in 2024, the market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 4.1% from 2025 to 2034, with demand increasingly influenced by regional manufacturing trends and localized supply chain resilience. North America, particularly the United States, remains a critical hub for high-performance engine components, driven by sustained demand for light trucks and SUVs equipped with internal combustion engines (ICE). The U.S. Department of Energy reports that over 70% of new vehicle sales in 2024 were light-duty trucks, many of which rely on robust, forged steel crankshafts capable of withstanding high torque loads. This consumer preference, combined with federal fuel efficiency standards that still accommodate ICE optimization, continues to support a stable aftermarket and OEM demand for precision-engineered crankshafts.
Europe presents a more complex landscape, where stringent emissions regulations under the European Union’s Euro 7 standards are accelerating engine downsizing and efficiency improvements. While the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is progressing, hybrid powertrains remain a dominant interim solution, preserving demand for advanced crankshaft designs that reduce friction and improve balance. Germany, as Europe’s largest automotive producer, hosts a concentration of Tier 1 suppliers and specialized foundries capable of producing high-tolerance nodular cast iron and forged steel crankshafts for premium brands like BMW and Mercedes-Benz. However, cross-border supply chains face increasing scrutiny due to carbon border adjustment mechanisms (CBAM) and the EU’s push for localized, low-carbon manufacturing. Eurostat data indicates a 12% increase in intra-EU component trade since 2020, reflecting efforts to reduce dependency on Asian suppliers and enhance supply chain security. This shift is prompting European manufacturers to invest in nearshoring and energy-efficient production techniques, including induction hardening and precision grinding automation.
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In the Asia Pacific, regional manufacturing trends are redefining the competitive landscape. China, the world’s largest automotive producer, accounts for nearly 30% of global crankshaft output, supported by a dense network of state-backed industrial zones and vertically integrated suppliers. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has prioritized high-strength, lightweight components as part of its “Made in China 2025” strategy, encouraging the adoption of micro-alloyed steels and advanced heat treatment processes. However, the rise of EVs—now comprising over 35% of new car sales in China—poses a structural challenge to traditional crankshaft demand. In response, Chinese manufacturers are diversifying into hybrid engine components and export markets, particularly in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, where ICE vehicles remain dominant. India, by contrast, is experiencing robust growth in two-wheeler and compact car production, driving demand for cost-effective, ductile iron crankshafts. The Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India (ACMA) reports a 9% year-on-year increase in engine component exports, signaling the country’s emergence as a low-cost, high-volume manufacturing base.
As the global automotive industry transitions toward electrification, the crankshaft market’s future will depend on its ability to adapt to regional regulatory frameworks, consumer preferences, and technological shifts. While EVs eliminate the need for traditional crankshafts, hybridization and emerging market demand will sustain relevance for the foreseeable future, particularly in regions where ICE dominance persists.
- Robert Bosch GmbH
- Mahle GmbH
- Tenneco Inc.
- NSK Ltd.
- ThyssenKrupp AG
- Hitachi Astemo, Ltd.
- Bharat Forge Limited
- Nippon Piston Ring Co., Ltd.
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