Gambling content 21+. The New York Post may receive an affiliate commi sion if you sign up through our links. Read our for more information. No one knows Corbin Burnes better than the Milwaukee Brewers, who watched their homegrown talent turn into a Cy Young winner in 2021. Unfortunately for the Brewers, who face their former teammate on Sunday in Baltimore, no one knows better than Burnes what Brewers management did to him during his arbitration hearing before the start of his final season in Milwaukee. He lost his case after the team . He received $10.01 million rather than the $10.75 million he had requested. For Burnes, who attended his own hearing and heard all of the unflattering things that are often said in such meetings, it stung. And it likely led to the that landed him with the Orioles in Trey Cabbage Jersey the offseason. Theres no denying that the relationship is definitely hurt from what [transpired] over the last couple weeks, after the arbiter announced the decision in February 2023. Theres really no way of getting around that. Explore More How will that event, now more than a year in the rearview mirror, impact Sundays game against Milwaukee? Big deal? Small deal? No deal? Lets take a closer look. Brewers vs. Orioles odds Team Run Line Moneyline Total Brewers +1.5 (-122) +154 o8 (-110) Orioles -1.5 (+102) -185 u8 (-110) Odds via Brewers vs. Orioles prediction Theres no doubt Burnes will carry those feelings into his start on Sunday against the red-hot Brewers, who at 10-3 lead the NL Central, averaging 9.7 runs over their last six games. For Burnes, this goes well beyond your typical revenge game. We witne sed one of those in the series opener on Friday when Joey Ortiz, who was acquired by the Brewers in the Burnes trade, knocked around his old club by going 3-for-5 with a pair of RBI in an 11-1 Milwaukee victory. Then on Saturday, the other key player in the Burnes deal, left-hander DL Hall, took the mound, and although he struggled in his three-plus innings, his teammates picked him up in an 11-5 win. Colin Rea gets the start on Sunday for the Brewers. Getty Images Burnes is left trying to salvage the series for Baltimore on Sunday. Hes opposed by Colin Rea, a cla sic outs-getter who doesnt strike out many batters and walks even fewer. In two starts this season, Rea is 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 1.27 WHIP over 11 innings. More than half of his pitches are sinkers and cutters and hell mix in a four-seam fastball about 20% of the time. In style, hes the antithesis of Burnes, who after three sparkling starts is the leading AL Cy Young candidate acro s most sportsbooks, with odds ranging from +450 (FanDuel, BetMGM) to +650 (ESPN Bet). In 18 2/3 innings this season, Burnes has allowed just 12 hits and four runs with 20 strikeouts to two walks. He relies on five pitches, throwing a nasty cutter more than 50% of the time with a curveball and slider combining for another 40% of his repertoire. According to Statcast, hes in the top 90% in almost every meaningful advanced pitching stat this season. The one potential i sue for Baltimore on Sunday is how susceptible Burnes has been to hard contact in his first three starts with the Orioles. This season against Burnes, hitters have a higher barrel rate (6.3%), exit velocity (90.3), hard-hit rate (39.6) and launch angle (12.7) than at any point since he won his Cy Young concerning since the Brewers lead the majors in home runs per game (1.6) after hitting five in the first two games in Baltimore and 10 in their last six games. Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting Read about the Learn all about Brewers vs. Orioles pick Its difficult to imagine the Brewers being shut down completely on Sunday considering theyve scored seven or more runs in six straight games, one shy of a franchise record. But theres a reason the Orioles made a bold move to acquire Burnes in the offseason, paying a steep price for a player with just one year left on his contract. Hes a certified slump buster who during his time in Milwaukee helped get the Brewers to the playoffs in five of his six seasons there. Mix in some bad blood against his old team (or at least team management), andwe have the makings for another dominant performance by Burnes, who has pitched at least six innings in his first three starts. With Rea due for some regre sion, look for Burnes to hold down this hot Brewers lineup and for Baltimore to grab an early lead. Pick: First 5 innings, Orioles ALT run line -1.5 (+138, ) Jason Delay Jersey
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